15.026J 全球气候变化：经济、科学与政策 (Global Climate Change: Economics, Science, and Policy)

MIT Course 15 · Managerial Economics · 管理经济学 · 课号 15.026J

TL;DR

• 融合地球气候物理模型与宏观经济综合评估模型（IAM），量化碳排放社会成本（SCC）。
• 贴现率选取的代际伦理争论（Stern vs. Nordhaus）、气候灾难尾部极端风险评估。
• 联合国气候谈判（COP）机制、巴黎协定下国家自主贡献（NDC）与边境调节关税（CBAM）博弈。

课程简介 / Description

This class introduces scientific, economic, and ecological issues underlying the threat of global climate change, and the institutions engaged in negotiating an international response. It also develops an integrated approach to analysis of climate change processes, and assessment of proposed policy measures, drawing on research and model development within the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change.

讲义 / Lecture Notes

• 1
  • Introduction and overview
  • (PDF)
• 2
  • Institutions I: political and analytical organizations
  • (PDF - 1.0 MB)
• 3
  • Review of the mathematics of climate analysis
  • (PDF)
• 4
  • Climate I: past climate, and gases, aerosols and radiation
  • (PDF - 1.3 MB)
• 5
  • Economics primer
  • (PDF)
• 6
  • Climate II: dynamics of the atmosphere and oceans
  • (PDF - 1.1 MB)
• 7
  • Economics of the global commons
  • (PDF)
• 8
  • Economics I: economic growth, technology and greenhouse gas emissions
  • (PDF)
• 9
  • Institutions II: the international climate negotiations
  • (PDF)
• 10
  • Economics II: the economics of greenhouse gas emissions control
  • (PDF)
• 11
  • Introduction to the Toy Integrated Global System Model
• 12
  • Climate III: interaction of atmosphere, oceans and biosphere
  • (PDF - 1.2 MB)
• 13
  • Analysis of the benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation
  • (PDF)
• 14
  • Economics III: climate policy analysis
  • (PDF)
• 15
  • Emissions trading and tax systems
  • (PDF)
• 16
  • Climate machine IV: regional impacts of climate change
  • (PDF - 3.2 MB)
• 17
  • Review of methods of uncertainty analysis
  • (PDF)
• 18
  • Integrated assessment I: sensitivity and uncertainty analysis
  • (PDF)
• 19
  • Sea level rise and adaptation
  • (PDF - 2.6 MB)
• 20
  • Methods for decision under uncertainty
  • (PDF)
• 21
  • Integrated assessment II: deciding global effort and burden shares
• 22
  • Climate change and the Arctic region
• 23
  • Climate V: unresolved problems in climate analysis
  • (PDF - 2.9 MB)
• 24
  • Discussion of homework sets and the policy exercise
• 25
  • Student team presentations
• 26
  • Final summary and discussion

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